Tuesday, June 23, 2015

Melting Arctic

Students in my environmental classes always express fear and alarm about the problem of melting ice causing the seas to rise. But is this really a problem? Sea ice fluctuates over time. As I've pointed out, the recent predictions of a "death spiral" in the Arctic have not materialized. The projections started in 1978 at a peak of Arctic ice, so of course the ice would be expected to decline. So is this a problem, or is it an example of alarmism intended to frighten the public into accepting higher energy costs and a lower standard of living, while also repressing the poor in developing countries?

Here's a graph of total sea ice on the planet:




Just to provide some historical perspective, here are some headlines over the years raising fears of ice melting and flooding the coastlines:

2014:
ScreenHunter_9655 Jun. 23 07.21


1947:

ScreenHunter_9650 Jun. 23 06.48


1932:

ScreenHunter_9654 Jun. 23 07.18

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